Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. Automotive. Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland's May elections? The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. Early 2021. Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Latest Opinion Polls - The Result Of A General Election Today Labour opens up historic poll lead over Tories after days of market The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Sustainable shooting key to governments nature recovery plans, Press release: Shootings role outlined to the new Welsh parliament, Liz Truss says she would use nuclear warfare, Hidden history: The Nazi-Soviet pact which Russia now tries to deny, The bigotry of Ukip is swamping the Conservative party, Very quietly, the coalition tries to dismantle judicial review, Comment: Anti-porn laws allow police to target those they don't like, Ambulance unions approached for pay talks after GMB tightens derogations, Reticulated giraffe heads to London Zoo before big breeding programme move, IRC Statement on IDC Report into UK Aid spend by the Home Office, Corporation tax is the tool to incentivise net zero, Trees: most accurate data yet shows glaring disparity in tree cover across England. In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. It's Andrew's Previews for. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) It was one of the biggest news stories of our. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Topic . Our current polling average is based on polls by Savanta ComRes (fieldwork completed May 4). By clicking 'Create Account and Subscribe' you agree to us creating an account for you and subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. Scottish Opinion Polls - Electoral Calculus At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! Slovakia's Smer back on top of opinion polls ahead of snap election bne IntelliNews 10:02 27-Feb-23. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". All Rights Reserved. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. In early 2023, the No campaign had already regained an opinion poll lead, doing so at a time that coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". Which party will you vote for? The pollster found. All Rights Reserved. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. Labour conference: Party surges in polls as 'clown show' economics Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low.
Dirty Dancing Actress Murdered,
San Diego Unified School District Certificated Salary Schedule,
Articles L